Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.262314 0.308546 0.363445 0.434271 0.524450 0.637146 0.791426
2025-02-02 0.197869 0.255311 0.332824 0.448614 0.623849 0.891397 1.358371
2025-02-09 0.160290 0.220663 0.310000 0.459310 0.719725 1.195245 2.252955
2025-02-16 0.136928 0.198103 0.295420 0.473806 0.825920 1.586803 3.771056
2025-02-23 0.119485 0.179723 0.281243 0.482139 0.923862 2.041295 6.235448
2025-03-02 0.105838 0.164297 0.267620 0.485847 1.013995 2.565920 10.335181
2025-03-09 0.094431 0.150399 0.253272 0.482867 1.087491 3.131804 17.049797
2025-03-16 0.084405 0.137212 0.237393 0.471389 1.133664 3.675866 27.473679
2025-03-23 0.078819 0.131194 0.234281 0.488484 1.274861 4.841129 59.761018
2025-03-30 0.071699 0.121229 0.221158 0.476896 1.319411 5.651805 111.204507
2025-04-06 0.067150 0.115614 0.216247 0.485381 1.442900 7.240329 310.126609
2025-04-13 0.062140 0.108441 0.206681 0.478400 1.505379 8.636257 908.362699
2025-04-20 0.058779 0.104310 0.203566 0.490109 1.662624 11.536860 10305.684141
2025-04-27 0.056196 0.101489 0.203082 0.510193 1.883165 16.516210 NaN
2025-05-04 0.053512 0.098124 0.200723 0.523902 2.092259 23.372349 NaN
2025-05-11 0.051255 0.095411 0.199527 0.541485 2.350775 34.954118 NaN
2025-05-18 0.048877 0.092157 0.196410 0.551527 2.582970 51.422457 NaN
2025-05-25 0.046502 0.088655 0.192098 0.555987 2.791213 75.053098 NaN
2025-06-01 0.044059 0.084755 0.186148 0.552439 2.942717 105.447176 NaN
2025-06-08 0.041497 0.080347 0.178215 0.538747 3.000926 136.601928 NaN
2025-06-15 0.040258 0.078924 0.178415 0.559150 3.407595 270.843416 NaN
2025-06-22 0.038078 0.075067 0.171157 0.545316 3.466976 374.782482 NaN
2025-06-29 0.036758 0.073168 0.169342 0.555444 3.812554 797.564604 NaN